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For Tuesday, 20 October

Read " Following Benford's Law, or Looking out for No. 1" (by Malcolm W. Browne, The New York Times, 4 August 1998, p. F4).
 
Find a set of numbers from some Middlebury publication (your choice, but it will need to be fairly large to do the exercise). Make a dotplot or histogram of the leading digits. Do the data appear to follow Benford's Law?
 

Think about the following questions for discussion in class:

(1) Do you understand the distinction made in the article between balls in the lottery actually being numbers vs. merely being labeled with numbers?
 
(2) The discoverers of Benford's law said that it should be satisfied for "natural" data. What do you think was meant by that?
 
(3) See if the law holds for the leading digits of the first 20 powers of 2; that is for the numbers 1,2,4,8,16,...